The guys did their homework. The numbers for engine and what not match reference for reference, Also it would seem to me that instead of flying around looking for the one island till she ran out of gas and ditched, she'd have enough common since to cut her losses, turn around and head for somewhere she knew she could get too before it was too late..
Irregardless of What Ghillespie and TIGHAR hold as an opinion, these guys seem to have a fairly convincing set of data that is oddly compelling not just for the fact that it exists, but it would seem so in character for amelia to have crashed it into those trees, instead of running out of gas..