MM and the Legacy of the West

MM

MM

Charter Member
A late start due to busy times. Flying the Real Air Simulations Lancair Legacy, Gold Class on the High Course. Active Sky Evolution weather. Veteran.

After a raised eyebrow from Ms. Murphy, and a knowing wink from Berinsky, this venture is declared "not-prize-eligible." From the man who knew too much.
 
MM said:
After a raised eyebrow from Ms. Murphy, and a knowing wink from Berinsky, this venture is declared "not-prize-eligible." From the man who knew too much.
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I don't agree with you doing this Mike - as I do not see it as fair to you. I understand why and very gracious of you to do this, but I feel it is unwarranted given my experience with your character over the years on these races (unimpeachable... impeccable...)

I make a motion to the Murph you be included.
 
Enough Hemingway and strong drink. Off to Heber City and the Wasatch Back. (KSUN-36U)
 
MM said:
Down at KSUN.
Climbed up to catch strong tailwinds only to discover 50kts winds on the nose. Ouch.
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Apparently NOAA ignored our memo on what the Winds Aloft should be when we are flying.

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Ok... on the serious side... I was eyeballing http://www.aviationweather.gov/adds/winds/ since the weekend and saw the jet at 18,000 was forecast to dip down south thru Idaho, then turn east and flatten out across Utah and Colorado. They still appear to be very good down thru Idaho / Utah.

Very strange what happened to you... I reckon you did not try refresh to the wx as a headwind just does not make sense for that route given current conditions. That or ASE? is on vacation.

Course, yesterday... when I flew from Steamboat Springs to Boulder... that weather was so far off-base... it was not actually snowing, so idk what AS2012 was up to.

(one needs to click a couple times to get to the size easily readable... at least for us old guys).

 
So a Steamboat METAR overcast with viz 10SM turns out to be Active Sky snow with 1SM visibility. Guess that is on a par with having winds aloft in the wrong direction. (In the winds case, both NOAA and ASE indicated strong winds from the northwest. FSX produced strong winds from the southeast.)

Guess that we shall have to live with these little "unexpected" weather events. Annoying for making plans ahead, but an entertaining challenge to adjust to these surprises.
 
I've been running into similar with FSrealWX lite. The winds are rarely as advertised.
 
On to Steamboat, guessing about the weather...

Which reminds me, an excellent book with a humbling message:
Nate Silver. 2012. The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail -- But Some Don't.
 
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