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Australia is burning:Update.

wombat666

Administrator
I assume that Pat (Aussie-man) is otherwise occupied with his volunteer duties so I've collected some further information on this disaster.
What is notable compared to previous seasons is the proximity of these very fierce fires to urban areas.
We are a 200+/- K from the fires and yet visibility in our coastal area is below 1.5 K.


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Since the start of the season, the ongoing bushfires destroyed 1,298 homes, as well as 48 facilities and more than 2,000 outbuildings in New South Wales alone.
Eighteen people are confirmed to have been killed in New South Wales since October. The latest fatality was reported on 5 January 2020 following the death of a man in Batlow.

Ecologists from The University of Sydney estimated 480 million mammals, birds, and reptiles were lost since September with concerns entire species of plants and animals may have been wiped out by bushfires.

In New South Wales, the fires had burned through more land than any other blazes in the past 25 years, in addition to be being the state's worst bushfire season on record.
NSW also experienced the longest continuously burning bushfire complex in Australia's history, having burned more than 4 million hectares (9,900,000 acres), with 70-metre (230 ft) high flames being reported.
In comparison, the 2018 California wildfires consumed 766,439 hectares (1,893,910 acres) and the 2019 Amazon rainforest wildfires burnt 900,000 hectares (2,200,000 acres) of land.

As of 1 January 2020, 3.6 million hectares (8.9 million acres) has been burnt or is burning in New South Wales alone.
As temperatures were forecast to reach 47 °C (117 °F), the New South Wales Premier called a fresh seven-day state of emergency with effect from 9am on 3 January 2020.

On 21 November, lightning strikes ignited a series of fires in East Gippsland, initially endangering the communities of Buchan, Buchan South and Sunny Point.
On the night of 20 December, the Marthavale-Barmouth Spur expanded, greatly endangering the community of Tambo Crossing.
On 30 December, there were three active fires in East Gippsland with a combined area of more than 130,000 hectares (320,000 acres), and another in the north east of the state heading south towards Cudgewa.
An evacuation warning was issued for the East Gippsland town of Goongerah, which is surrounded by high-value old growth forests.
On the same day, a fire broke out in the Plenty Gorge Parklands, situated in Melbourne's northern suburbs between Bundoora, Mill Park, South Morang, Greensborough and Plenty.

Fires reached the town of Mallacoota by around 9:00 AEDT on 30 December 2019. As of 11:00 AEDT 31 December, fires had began to approach the vacation town of Lakes Entrance.
Despite evacuation of large portions of East Gippsland being recommended, approximately 30,000 holiday makers chose to remain in the region.
Approximately 4,000 people, including 3,000 tourists, remained in Mallacoota as the fire began making its closest approach to the town, cutting off roads in the process; Mallacoota had not been issued with an evacuation warning on 29 December.
On 3 January, approximately 1,160 people from Mallacoota were evacuated on naval vessels HMAS Choules and MV Sycamore.

On 2 January at 23:00 AEDT Victorian Premier Daniel Andrews declared a state of disaster under the provisions of the Victorian Emergency Management Act for the shires of East Gippsland, Mansfield, Wellington, Wangaratta Rural, Towong, and Alpine, and the
alpine resorts of Mount Buller, Mount Hotham, and Mount Stirling.
Emergency Management Commissioner Andrew Crisp stated that 780,000 hectares (1,900,000 acres) had burnt including 100,000 hectares (250,000 acres) near Corryong in the state's north-east and that fifty fires were burning.
On 3 January, Premier Daniel Andrews said two people were confirmed dead from the East Gippsland fires.

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Satellite images depicting early stages of smoke drift.

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At this point in time the coverage has increased to blanket most of the South-West of the country. (Left of this image and it is nasty.)


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Earlier image covering the North-East coast, which has since extended all the way down South.
Sydney has had weeks of cover, but is clearing as of 06/01/2020.
I must add that the South Australian state has been hit hard, especially in the Adelaide Hills area, while Western Australia has also been hammered in the late part of 2019, still ongoing.

 
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More up to date Sat map.
Ironically while the South East burns the North West is being hit hard by at least two Tropical Cyclones!


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Courtesy of the BoM these schematics illustrate the root cause of the fires.

:dizzy:
 
I'm still here but not involved with these fires. I have been battling other issues following a couple close up inspections of the kitchen tiles and lounge room carpet last month.

Also a former District Manager put in a very dodgy report about me several after I left the district and that has kept me inactive until I get that sorted.

Don't know why but the photo has been rotated during upload.
 

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Face Plant! Ouch indeed!
:dizzy:
We were concerned as the whole mess seems to be as near to unpredictable as I've ever seen, while reports coming into our local CFS have been scary.
Stay safe and stay upright Pat.
And don't let the Bureaucrats grind you down.
J.L.
:encouragement:


 
Thanks for the updates and info. We are seeing a lot of news from Australia on the Beeb and it looks grim. Stay safe and our thoughts are with all you Aussies.
 
Folks on location, please stay safe and keep your family (two and four-legged members) safe in the affected areas! Keeping you in our thoughts and prayers.
 
Hidden costs.

Over a billion animals and hundreds of billions of insects have been killed in bushfires throughout New South Wales this season, according to leading wildlife experts.

The figure has more than doubled from an original estimate of 480 million animals lost, as the hectares razed by out-of-control fires increased from 3 million to now over 8.4 million in NSW.

Ecologist Chris Dickman from the University of Sydney said: "for some species we're looking at imminent extinction".

"There will almost certainly be species of all geographical ranges and populations that are cooked before we've even had the chance to discover that they exist," Professor Dickman said.

Wildlife is threatened by more than just flames in a bushfire crisis, says David Lindenmayer, a professor of forest ecology and management at Australian National University.

"Australian wildlife has to deal with four things: the incredibly fragile overheated periods before fires, the fire itself, the lack of habitat and food after the fire, and the fourth thing is the invasion of foxes and cats in these burnt areas," he said.

Professor Lindenmayer said there has never been a better time to keep domestic cats inside overnight.

"It's easy pickings for them — cats can move up to 12 kilometres through areas that have just been burnt," he said.

Professor Dickman said the aftermath may mean "species that are rendered extinct, ecosystems that have been eroded to the point where they are completely changed, and habitat in a state of widespread impoverishment".

"The loss of life we've estimated for NSW is 800 million terrestrial animals, including birds and reptiles. But that figure doesn't include frogs, fish, bats and invertebrates," he said.

"Combining these figures it is likely well over a billion animals lost."

Professor Dickman said invertebrates, which include butterflies, spiders and earthworms, hold a critical place in the ecosystem, providing pollination, seed dispersal, soil health, nutrient recycling and an essential food source for a large number of marsupials,

birds and over 90 per cent of all lizards.
 
This visualisation says it all!

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“3D “visualisation” of the fires in Australia, made from NASA satellite data. These are all the areas which have been affected, but not all the areas are still burning.”
Credit ~ Anthony Hearsey - Creative Imaging
 

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Its an absolutely tragedy and I think the whole world is closely following the events in Australia. The events will definitely make changes to the whole eco-system on an isolated continent as Australia is. The effects from the fires in Australia already spread over a part of the Ocean and even have reached New Zealand (Mount Cook) which is at a distance of roughly 4,000 kilometres (2,500 miles). But the problem even larger than "just" Australia. The European Space Agencies Copernicus Sentinel-3 mission, recorded 79,000 major fires in August 2019, compared to just over 16,000 fires detected during the same period in 2018. Fires in South America and Africa are really huge.

https://www.esa.int/Applications/Observing_the_Earth/Copernicus/Sentinel-3/Is_Earth_on_fire

And Pat good luck with your face, I suggest you wear the gun-glasses from your avatar for a while again!

Huub
 
No offense RS but.......!

That '3D Imaging' visualisation is quite misleading.
Areas such as the North of the country are unaffected, in fact there are a couple of Cyclones and a lot of rain in the North of Western Australia, the Northern Territory and Far North Queensland.
Both the Fire Services and the Bureau of Meteorology have been highly critical of this particular 'impression', along with the same one with added fire zones.
Strange things some people do these days!


MzoQ4y.jpg

South Eastern Victoria, around the Bemm River, edging our way now, weather conditions for Friday are looking grim, the cool weather forecast will bring rain (not enough!) and strong winds.
Not good news.

 
it is a "visualisation" - no satellite image

No offense RS but.......!

That '3D Imaging' visualisation is quite misleading.
Areas such as the North of the country are unaffected, in fact there are a couple of Cyclones and a lot of rain in the North of Western Australia, the Northern Territory and Far North Queensland.
Both the Fire Services and the Bureau of Meteorology have been highly critical of this particular 'impression', along with the same one with added fire zones.
Strange things some people do these days!

South Eastern Victoria, around the Bemm River, edging our way now, weather conditions for Friday are looking grim, the cool weather forecast will bring rain (not enough!) and strong winds.
Not good news.


Hi wombat666,

yes... it is not a real satellite image - it is a forceful "visualisation" of N
ASA’s Fire Information for Ressource Management System (FIRMS) data - collected over a period of eight months (see: https://www.politifact.com/facebook...l-visualization-australia-fires-misrepresent/ )

Howsoever I wish the people of Australia get this disaster under control as soon as possible.

Greetings RS

 
Incredible the size of these fires. Was in Brisbane in November, and it was bad then. Worse now. Tragic. Stay safe down there!
 
So today we have a band of moisture and thunderstorms coming across Coastal Victoria, courtesy of a couple of Cyclones up North.
Should also ease a little further inland.
Even living on the edge of Bass Strait and the Southern Ocean visibility is bad, down to 1.5K+/-, overnight the shipping traveling through the Strait was sounding fog horns!
Being not very clever I decided to drive up to Urban Melbourne to (finally) pick up the last of my new build fittings and being really not clever I dusted off the 934 to exercise her.
The combination of smoke and moist warm air plus mild precipitation covered the car with an odd and nasty scum..........after a couple of hundred kilometres in murky weather and holiday traffic I really did not enjoy three hours washing and rewashing the bloody car!
However, I shouldn't whinge, as the image from the ISS illustrates.

A-Bloody-Mazing!!!!!!!

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:dizzy:
 

The combination of smoke and moist warm air plus mild precipitation covered the car with an odd and nasty scum..........after a couple of hundred kilometres in murky weather and holiday traffic I really did not enjoy three hours washing and rewashing the bloody car!
However, I shouldn't whinge, as the image from the ISS illustrates.

:dizzy:

Might be a thought to check/clean/replace the air filters...

Of course, since most are just worried about getting burned, not much has been said about the long-term health effects of ingesting air and water that have been contaminated by all sorts of nice particulates (I wonder if carbonized eucalyptus oil is good for the body?).
 
I wonder if carbonized eucalyptus oil is good for the body?
A new business opportunity perhaps?
Big concerns about washing all the ash into rivers and town storage dams....
 
Currently one major concern is central to Chromium 3 being carbonised into Chromium 6 which is proven to be Carcinogenic.
The first containment that I thought of was Asbestos, given that so many older buildings in the rural areas are old and most likely original.
And of course, all the rubber, assorted metals, petro chemicals, and inevitably pesticides that would be found in farming and agricultural properties.

PS: Of course the 934 received a thorough pressure wash (upper and lower surfaces). Steamed out the engine bay and threw the 'foam' filters away, she's due for a three monthly service anyway.


:encouragement:
 
We lived in Canberra until April last year. Sadly, the writing was on the wall for all to see, even then. It made our decision to relocate to Europe a lot easier. But still, we have lots of friends either in the RFS or affected by smoke and fire. It’s terrible.

Hopefully this is a wake up call for all of us.
 
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