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How precise will they be?

Charleville to Melbourne Estimates - How Precise will the Racers be?

  • The winner will be perfect - zero penalty

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Within 15 seconds of estimate

    Votes: 2 9.1%

  • Doing well- within one minute of estimate

    Votes: 5 22.7%

  • Hah! Inside 10 minutes (600 sec.) will be a miracle!

    Votes: 12 54.5%

  • All things considered, 11-30 minutes (660-1800 sec.) will take the day

    Votes: 1 4.5%

  • Are you kidding? This bunch?? I bet it won't be closer than 1 hour!

    Votes: 2 9.1%

  • No one will stick their neck out and make an estimate

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Total voters
    22
  • Poll closed .
srgalahad

srgalahad

Charter Member 2022
From the rules:


11. Precision Flying



The final segment between Charleville and Melbourne incorporates an additional contest of Precision Flying. Before departing Charleville, the pilot declares a Target Flight Time that he will use to in flying from Charleville to Melbourne (YBCV-YMEN). The pilot might complete this segment in a single leg, or the pilot might take multiple legs (in which case the segment's Flight Time is the sum of the legs' Flight Time).

The "deviation" is scored as the absolute value of the difference between his actual Flight Time and his previously declared Target Flight Time—measured in seconds. The winner is the pilot with the minimum deviation.

For example, a pilot states his Target Flight Time is 3:05:00 (three hours and five minutes) and he actually flies the distance in 3:08:30 (three hours eight minutes and 30 seconds). Then his score is 210 seconds. Or he might fly it in 2:58:00 and get a score of 420 seconds. The lowest score wins.


So the question is: "Estimating arrival time over a 682 nm leg, How well will the racers do ?

Place your bets here!
 
I should mention that the POLL is time limited (a few days) so don't plan to wait until you start to see results :wiggle:

Rob
 
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